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CITIC Securities: As the Spring Festival approaches, consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. CITIC Securities Research Report said that the Politburo meeting held on December 9, 2024 once again made it clear that expanding domestic demand is the key policy direction for the coming year, "expanding domestic demand in all directions" and "vigorously boosting consumption", expressing positive and igniting market expectations. After experiencing a rapid rebound in September, the consumer sector generally pulled back in October-November because the short-term consumption data has not yet reflected the effectiveness of the policy and the policy strength in the coming year is unclear. We believe that as the Spring Festival approaches, the top-down emphasis on domestic demand and policy expectations are heating up, and consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. On the policy side, in addition to the "trade-in policy", we believe that there is still a package of consumption promotion toolboxes available, such as subsidies for first-time car buyers, maternity subsidies, and the issuance of state-subsidized catering and tourism coupons. We suggest that the consumption allocation should be progressive from both offensive and defensive to flexible varieties, with both offensive and defensive features: consumer Internet, dairy products with low valuation and high return, mass catering, etc., and flexibility: catering supply chain, alcohol, human resources services, hotels, etc., with obvious pro-cyclical characteristics, considering the consumption allocation demand driven by expectations first.Vietnam said that private equity giant KKR sought to expand its investment in the country. On the evening of December 10, the Vietnamese government website issued a statement saying that private equity investment company KKR was seeking to expand its investment opportunities in Vietnam. Su Lin, general secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of Vietnam, expressed the hope that foreign investors, including American investors, will continue to increase their investment in Vietnam, especially in the fields of digital transformation, green transformation, renewable energy, clean energy and climate change. It is suggested that American enterprises, including KKR, continue to actively contribute to promoting bilateral cooperation, especially bilateral economic and scientific cooperation. David Petraeus, a partner of KKR, said that KKR is very optimistic about the investment prospects in Vietnam, and KKR Fund is looking for opportunities to expand cooperation and investment in Vietnam. He also promised to continue to support the development of Vietnam-US relations.The Hang Seng Science and Technology Index rose to 1%, and the Hang Seng Index is now up 0.70%.

The central parity of RMB against the US dollar was reported at 7.1843 yuan.China's one-year interest rate swap hit a four-year low, and China's one-year interest rate swap (IRS) fell sharply this week, falling below the 1.50% mark for the first time since 2020. The data shows that the one-year interest rate swap was still around 1.50% at the beginning of Wednesday, and once fell to 1.4825% in the previous session, setting a new low since May 2020.Retailer Party City is considering the second bankruptcy after a little over a year.

Retailer Party City is considering the second bankruptcy after a little over a year.Guojin Securities: There is a certain room for the valuation of brokers to rise, focusing on two main lines. Guojin Securities said that looking forward to 2025, liquidity is expected to be further relaxed, market stability will be improved, and a solid market bottom will be built. The improvement of economic fundamentals will be confirmed, and the stock market is expected to go further, which will benefit the valuation and performance of brokerage sectors. Under the background of previous liquidity easing, the valuation of securities firms has expanded to above 1.9X, and the current valuation of securities firms is 1.6X, which has a certain room for growth on the whole. Pay attention to the main line of strong beta business and the main line of mergers and acquisitions.The concept of reducer went down in early trading, and Shandong Mining Machine and Shanzi Hi-Tech fell, while Shandong Mining Machine and Shanzi Hi-Tech fell, and Qinghai Huading, Landay Technology, Nifa Seiki and Wuzhou New Year followed suit.